Maldives anticipates robust tourism growth in 2024: MATATO reveals forecast


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The Maldives by 2025

18 December, 2023

Maldives Association of Travel Agents and Tour Operators (MATATO) has unveiled its tourist arrival forecast for the year 2024, revealing a promising outlook for the tourism industry. According to MATATO’s comprehensive analysis of prevailing trends, the Maldives is expected to welcome a staggering 2.01 million tourists in 2024, marking a substantial 7.9% increase compared to the projected arrivals in 2023.

Several factors are set to propel the Maldives’ tourism sector to new heights in 2024:

  1. Resurgence of the Chinese Market: The anticipated resurgence of the Chinese market is poised to be a pivotal factor driving increased tourism to the Maldives.
  2. Opening of New Tourist Establishments: The introduction of new tourist establishments is expected to diversify offerings, attracting a broader range of visitors seeking unique and immersive experiences.
  3. Completion of Velana International Airport (VIA) Terminal: The imminent completion of the new terminal at Velana International Airport will significantly enhance airport capacity, facilitating a larger influx of tourists.
  4. Sustained Demand for Luxury Travel: The persistent demand for luxury travel experiences is projected to contribute significantly to the overall growth of the tourism industry.
  5. Rising Popularity for Destination Weddings and Honeymoons: The Maldives’ increasing popularity as a destination for weddings and honeymoons is expected to be a driving force in attracting tourists seeking romantic and picturesque settings.

The forecast predicts the following regional distribution of tourist arrivals:

  • Asia: 1.2 million arrivals (60%)
  • Europe: 400,000 arrivals (20%)
  • America: 200,000 arrivals (10%)
  • Others: 210,000 arrivals (10%)

MATATO’s forecast is based on a meticulous analysis that draws from data over the past three years, the Airports Council International (ACI) 2024 forecast, the November forecast from the Finance Ministry of the Maldives, Booking.com Travel Predictions 2024, PwC’s latest UK consumer sentiment survey, and insights from an AI forecaster.

While the outlook is optimistic, potential risks include:

  • Global Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could pose challenges to the anticipated growth.
  • Rise in Travel Costs: Escalating travel costs might impact the enthusiasm of potential travelers.
  • Political Instability: Ongoing political instability and conflicts globally could also influence the tourism industry.

The overall outlook for the Maldives’ tourism industry in 2024 is optimistic, with a strong surge in tourist arrivals expected. However, the industry stakeholders and authorities must remain vigilant, considering the potential risks that could influence the trajectory of the industry. The Maldives continues to position itself as a premier destination, offering a diverse range of experiences to cater to the evolving preferences of global travelers.

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